From the interview:
What's the biggest challenge facing the open source model in 2006?Read:
Fleury: I don't mean to sound non-paranoid -- I am actually very paranoid -- even with my paranoia 2006 is very bright. All of the businesses I know in open source, we're leaving 2005 with booming businesses. 2006 is going to be a transition year now that all the big players are falling over themselves to embrace open source, some more elegantly than others, some more willingly than others. For example, Sun's open sourcing wasn't a big financial hit because it represented such a small part of their revenue; specifically, the software was 1% of Sun's revenue. So they could afford to go the full Monty on open source.
For other players like BEA or IBM, it's a different ballgame, where they have to protect their revenue streams. I think the challenge in 2006 is you're seeing an explosion of business models around open source and how exactly those dynamics play out is what concerns me. Are the big players going to roll up? Are you going to see mushrooming business models and an ecosystem that's thriving? I'm hoping for both. I'm wondering how this is going to play out, not in a negative way. Professional open source is the way of the future. That's for sure. How it's going to play out, nobody knows.
JBoss' Marc Fleury on open source in 2006, part 1
JBoss' Marc Fleury on SOA standards, Java and paranoia